[IBL] comments on mid-season ballot

[Doug Palmer]

Re: The worst pitching staff in the IBL last year didn't have a 1.58 WHIP,
I don't see a problem here.

It wasn't for a lack of trying though! LOL

Doug/BAL


On Sat, Jul 26, 2014 at 12:15 PM, Sean Sweda <sweda at ibl.org> wrote:

>
> On Jul 26, 2014, at 10:40 AM, Mike Monostra wrote:
>
> > In defense of the actual number/quality of pitchers used, also remember
> this: We only have 24 teams, MLB has 30. In theory, this means we really
> only used the top 80% of pitchers anyway. The remaining 20% is the long
> list of FA pitchers you see on the site now. Like Sean said, I don't see a
> concern for running out of BF.
>
> Some basic math/algebra which will hopefully put this issue to rest
> permanently:
>
> pseudo-BF formula:  BF = 3 * IP + H + W
> WHIP = ( W + H ) / IP
> BF formula using WHIP:  BF = 3 * IP + WHIP * IP = (3 + WHIP) * IP
>
> Let's assume that we've got an IBL team that starts the season with the
> same number of MLB innings on their team as is needed to pitch the IBL
> season (approximately 1450).  How "unlucky" does this team have to be to
> run out of BF-usage?  Let's use WHIP as the measure, since it is easy way
> to visualize the part of the equation that we care about (H + W).
>
> IBL "true-talent" 1.3 WHIP team:  BF = (3 + WHIP) * IP = 4.3 * 1450 = 6235
> BF
>
> so, how bad would the "true-talent" 1.3 WHIP team have to pitch to run out
> of BF?
> max usage BF = BF * 1.333 = 6235 * 1.333 = 8313 BF
> "bad luck" WHIP needed to result in max usage = (8313 BF - 3 * 1450 IP) /
> 1450 IP = 2.73 WHIP (!)
>
> OK, so what about a IBL team that went into the season with less MLB
> innings than it needs?
>
> 90% innings (1305), "true talent" 1.3 WHIP, BF = 4.3 * 1305 = 5611 BF *
> 1.333 for max usage = 7480 BF
> "bad luck" WHIP needed = (7480 BF - 3 * 1450 IP) / 1450 = 2.15 WHIP
>
> 80% innings (1160), "true talent" 1.3 WHIP, BF = 4.3 * 1160 = 4988 BF *
> 1.333 for max usage = 6649 BF
> "bad luck" WHIP needed = (6649 BF - 3 * 1450 IP) / 1450 = 1.58 WHIP
>
>
> The worst pitching staff in the IBL last year didn't have a 1.58 WHIP, I
> don't see a problem here.
>
> Sean
>
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