[IBL] Updated Playoff Odds - July 24, 2023

[Chris Hartjes]

"Hrm, why is it projecting every team to play .500 baseball the rest of the way?"

After double-checking my math, I found an error. It has been corrected.

Starting to simulate 100000 seasons...

Simulating seasons... |################################| 100000/100000

AC East
SFL 94.1 - 67.9 93.8% Div + 5.8% WC = 99.6%
NJR 84.9 - 77.1 6.2% Div + 70.7% WC = 76.9%
KAT 73.4 - 88.6 0.0% Div + 2.1% WC = 2.1%
RRG 73.1 - 87.9 0.0% Div + 1.8% WC = 1.8%

AC Central
WMS 92.0 - 70.0 82.6% Div + 15.8% WC = 98.4%
BOW 85.9 - 76.1 16.2% Div + 62.5% WC = 78.7%
OXY 79.1 - 81.9 1.1% Div + 19.3% WC = 20.4%
PHI 75.3 - 86.7 0.2% Div + 4.2% WC = 4.4%

AC West
MCM 98.5 - 63.5 99.9% Div + 0.1% WC = 100.0%
EVE 79.2 - 81.8 0.1% Div + 17.5% WC = 17.6%
BUF 67.3 - 93.7 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
MAD 67.3 - 94.7 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SNH 100.8 - 61.2 98.0% Div + 2.0% WC = 100.0%
SKY 87.9 - 74.1 2.0% Div + 86.1% WC = 88.1%
SDQ 78.9 - 83.1 0.0% Div + 14.1% WC = 14.1%
SLG 69.0 - 93.0 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%

NC Central
CAN 95.9 - 66.1 99.3% Div + 0.5% WC = 99.8%
SCS 79.9 - 82.1 0.6% Div + 17.8% WC = 18.3%
NYK 77.1 - 84.9 0.1% Div + 5.9% WC = 6.1%
SFP 59.0 - 103.0 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
SEA 105.5 - 56.5 99.9% Div + 0.1% WC = 100.0%
GTY 85.3 - 75.7 0.1% Div + 67.6% WC = 67.7%
BFD 77.4 - 84.6 0.0% Div + 5.8% WC = 5.8%
BAL 54.2 - 106.8 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net