[IBL] Playoff Odds (and new predictions!) for October 1st, 2020

[Chris Hartjes]

As always, these odds are generated by a Python script that doesn't care that it's creator has the most losses of any IBL manager in the history of the league.

Playoff outcome predictions done with seeding ranked on highest likely outcomes and assumes the top seed in each conference plays the winner of the Wild Card series.

AC
WC: BOW beats MAD
DS1: MCM beats BOW
DS2: OXY beats SFL
CF: MCM beats OXY

NC
WC: SCS beats GTY
DS1: SEA beats SCS
DS2: NYK beats SDQ
CF: SEA beats NYK

IBLCS: SEA beats MCM

(Done using Bill James' Playoff Prediction algorithm and should be used for strategy purposes)

AC East
SFL 89.7 - 72.3 97.3% Div + 0.0% WC = 97.3%
NJR 81.3 - 80.7 1.7% Div + 0.0% WC = 1.8%
KAT 80.5 - 81.5 1.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 1.0%
RRG 43.3 - 118.7 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
OXY 101.3 - 60.7 56.5% Div + 43.5% WC = 100.0%
BOW 101.1 - 60.9 43.5% Div + 56.5% WC = 100.0%
WMS 77.9 - 84.1 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
PHI 59.0 - 103.0 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 106.6 - 55.4 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
MAD 93.7 - 68.3 0.0% Div + 89.4% WC = 89.4%
POR 88.4 - 73.6 0.0% Div + 10.6% WC = 10.6%
EVE 59.1 - 102.9 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SDQ 87.9 - 73.1 99.2% Div + 0.2% WC = 99.5%
SKY 78.7 - 83.3 0.8% Div + 7.9% WC = 8.7%
SNH 70.0 - 92.0 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
SLG 62.6 - 98.4 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
NYK 99.7 - 62.3 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SCS 84.9 - 77.1 0.0% Div + 88.8% WC = 88.8%
CAN 77.1 - 84.9 0.0% Div + 1.3% WC = 1.3%
SFP 76.5 - 85.5 0.0% Div + 1.7% WC = 1.7%

NC West
SEA 114.2 - 47.8 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
GTY 92.6 - 69.4 0.0% Div + 100.0% WC = 100.0%
ODM 61.3 - 100.7 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
BAL 55.4 - 106.6 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net