[IBL] Playoff Odds - July 31, 2017

Chris Hartjes chartjes at littlehart.net
Mon Jul 31 11:49:16 EDT 2017


Since so many people got wound up by it last time, I will start running
them every week from here on out.

Simulated 10000 remaining seasons using log5


AC East
TRI 94.0% Div + 3.0% WC = 97.0%
KAT 4.3% Div + 20.2% WC = 24.5%
COU 1.4% Div + 12.0% WC = 13.4%
NJR 0.3% Div + 2.7% WC = 3.0%

AC Central
WMS 95.6% Div + 4.0% WC = 99.5%
BOW 4.3% Div + 58.1% WC = 62.4%
PHI 0.1% Div + 4.0% WC = 4.1%
PAD 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
POR 0.0% Div + 95.1% WC = 95.1%
MAD 0.0% Div + 0.9% WC = 0.9%
BAL 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SNH 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 0.0% Div + 72.2% WC = 72.2%
MNM 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
SKY 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
SFP 99.8% Div + 0.2% WC = 100.0%
SCS 0.2% Div + 62.9% WC = 63.1%
CAN 0.0% Div + 2.8% WC = 2.8%
NYK 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
SEA 82.9% Div + 10.3% WC = 93.2%
EDG 13.7% Div + 33.3% WC = 47.0%
ODM 2.9% Div + 14.5% WC = 17.3%
GTY 0.5% Div + 3.8% WC = 4.3%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net


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