[IBL] Playoff Odds -- August 13, 2017

Chris Hartjes chartjes at littlehart.net
Sun Aug 13 21:45:02 EDT 2017


Hello folks, just finished moving to a new house  and finally got my
home office all unpacked.

Starting to simulate seasons...

Simulated 10000 remaining seasons using log5


AC East
TRI 90.2% Div + 3.3% WC = 93.5%
COU 5.9% Div + 17.0% WC = 22.8%
KAT 2.2% Div + 7.3% WC = 9.5%
NJR 1.7% Div + 6.5% WC = 8.2%

AC Central
WMS 92.2% Div + 6.0% WC = 98.3%
BOW 6.8% Div + 47.9% WC = 54.8%
PHI 0.9% Div + 12.3% WC = 13.2%
PAD 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 99.9% Div + 0.1% WC = 100.0%
POR 0.1% Div + 99.4% WC = 99.5%
MAD 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%
BAL 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SNH 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 0.0% Div + 42.2% WC = 42.2%
MNM 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
SKY 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
SFP 99.9% Div + 0.1% WC = 100.0%
SCS 0.1% Div + 54.4% WC = 54.4%
CAN 0.0% Div + 8.0% WC = 8.0%
NYK 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
SEA 70.0% Div + 24.0% WC = 94.0%
ODM 28.8% Div + 55.7% WC = 84.5%
EDG 1.0% Div + 12.7% WC = 13.7%
GTY 0.2% Div + 3.0% WC = 3.2%


-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net


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