[IBL] Playoff Odds!

[Santa Fe Prairie Dogs]

So, you're saying it'll be either COU or PHI against GTY or ODM?

I think there are some P-Dogs that may have something to say about that ...
    :)

(At least you're giving me roughly 50/50 to win the division - I'll take it.)

Larry



> On September 28, 2016 at 2:51 PM Chris Hartjes <chartjes at littlehart.net>
> wrote:
> 
> 
> With some time on my hands I sat down and wrote a playoff odds predictor.
> Here's what
> it does
> 
> * looks at the series that are remaining
> * simulates each remaining season 10000 times, playing out each series
> * uses head-to-head match-ups and determines game wins through comparing
> random
> percentage to matchup percentage
> * determines the division winners each simulated season
> * determines the wild card teams for each simulated season
> 
> Here are the latest odds
> 
> COU 99.1% Div + 0.8% WC = 99.9%
> TRI 0.9% Div + 62.2% WC = 63.1%
> MCM 1.0% Div + 4.9% WC = 5.8%
> PHI 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
> WMS 0.0% Div + 78.7% WC = 78.7%
> BAL 40.6% Div + 23.2% WC = 63.8%
> POR 55.0% Div + 24.1% WC = 79.1%
> SKY 2.1% Div + 4.7% WC = 6.8%
> MNM 97.9% Div + 0.8% WC = 98.7%
> SFP 48.1% Div + 21.8% WC = 69.9%
> CAN 51.9% Div + 23.5% WC = 75.4%
> GTY 53.8% Div + 46.2% WC = 100.0%
> MAD 3.4% Div + 6.1% WC = 9.5%
> SEA 0.0% Div + 49.2% WC = 49.3%
> ODM 46.2% Div + 53.7% WC = 99.9%
> 
> I'll send this out after every week here on out.
> 
> --
> Chris
>