[IBL] Playoff Odds - October 13, 2016

[Chris Hartjes]

Data dump taken at 09:05 EDT

NOTE: BAL at MAD for week 26 needs to be replayed because I am a moron with poor reading
comprehension skills and played an injured player during home games.

Simulated 100000 remaining seasons using log5

Won-loss totals reflect average season from the simulation.


AC East
COU (95.4-66.6) 98.8% Div + 1.1% WC = 99.9%
TRI (89.1-72.9) 1.2% Div + 51.9% WC = 53.1%
NJR (76.2-85.8) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
KAT (50.7-111.3) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
PHI (105.4-56.6) 99.3% Div + 0.7% WC = 100.0%
WMS (98.9-63.1) 0.7% Div + 99.2% WC = 100.0%
BOW (66.6-95.4) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
PAD (57.6-104.4) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
BAL (89.8-72.2) 64.5% Div + 10.3% WC = 74.7%
MAD (88.4-73.6) 19.9% Div + 16.4% WC = 36.3%
POR (88.1-73.9) 12.8% Div + 17.9% WC = 30.6%
MCM (85.8-76.2) 2.8% Div + 2.5% WC = 5.3%

NC East
MNM (85.9-76.1) 99.7% Div + 0.0% WC = 99.7%
SKY (77.9-84.1) 0.3% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.3%
SDQ (70.0-92.0) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
CSG (69.1-92.9) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
SFP (92.8-69.2) 97.8% Div + 1.0% WC = 98.8%
CAN (86.7-75.3) 2.2% Div + 11.7% WC = 13.9%
NYK (68.7-93.3) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
HAV (67.3-94.7) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
GTY (94.0-68.0) 85.4% Div + 14.4% WC = 99.8%
SEA (91.1-70.9) 8.3% Div + 86.1% WC = 94.4%
ODM (90.3-71.7) 6.3% Div + 86.9% WC = 93.2%
EDG (62.2-99.8) 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

--
Chris