[IBL] Playoff Odds -- September 4, 2024

[Chris Hartjes]

As an added bonus, here is a chart that shows current won-loss records using different standards

Real - current record as per full GRS results being processed
First Order - Pythagorean record based on runs scored and allowed, adjusted for blowouts
Second Order - Pythagorean based on Base Runs scored and Base Runs allowed, adjusted for blowouts
Third Order - Pythagorean based on Base Runs adjusted for teams faced and blowouts


IBL | Real  | First |  2nd  | Third
BAL | 56-69 | 59-66 | 57-68 | 59-66
BFD | 53-72 | 54-71 | 60-65 | 61-64
BOW | 57-71 | 55-73 | 57-71 | 56-72
BUF | 74-51 | 76-49 | 67-58 | 66-59
CAN | 58-64 | 57-65 | 59-63 | 60-62
EVE | 63-62 | 65-60 | 72-53 | 70-55
GTY | 46-76 | 47-75 | 50-72 | 52-70
KAT | 74-53 | 71-56 | 66-61 | 65-62
MAD | 63-65 | 61-67 | 60-68 | 60-68
MCM | 79-45 | 77-47 | 77-47 | 75-49
NJR | 60-68 | 58-70 | 63-65 | 62-66
NYK | 41-84 | 35-90 | 40-85 | 43-82
OXY | 52-73 | 54-71 | 56-69 | 56-69
PHI | 54-74 | 56-72 | 55-73 | 54-74
RRG | 43-85 | 44-84 | 45-83 | 46-82
SCS | 70-55 | 72-53 | 71-54 | 71-54
SDQ | 59-66 | 61-64 | 54-71 | 56-69
SEA | 73-52 | 74-51 | 70-55 | 71-54
SFL | 68-54 | 68-54 | 72-50 | 69-53
SFP | 70-55 | 67-58 | 68-57 | 69-56
SKY | 68-57 | 66-59 | 66-59 | 67-58
SLG | 81-47 | 83-45 | 79-49 | 79-49
WIS | 75-53 | 72-56 | 70-58 | 70-58
WMS | 68-54 | 64-58 | 59-63 | 57-65

AC East
KAT 92-70 Win Division: 56.1% Make Playoffs: 98.5%
SFL 91-71 Win Division: 43.9% Make Playoffs: 95.6%
NJR 77-85 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.1%
RRG 56-106 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%

AC Central
WMS 88-74 Win Division: 100.0% Make Playoffs: 100.0%
BOW 72-90 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%
OXY 69-93 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%
PHI 69-93 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%

AC West
MCM 103-59 Win Division: 98.6% Make Playoffs: 100.0%
BUF 94-68 Win Division: 1.4% Make Playoffs: 98.6%
EVE 84-78 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 7.2%
MAD 79-83 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.1%

NC East
SLG 102-60 Win Division: 97.3% Make Playoffs: 100.0%
WIS 93-69 Win Division: 2.7% Make Playoffs: 91.8%
SKY 88-74 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 38.0%
SDQ 75-87 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%

NC Central
SCS 92-70 Win Division: 58.4% Make Playoffs: 87.0%
SFP 92-70 Win Division: 41.6% Make Playoffs: 83.2%
CAN 76-86 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.1%
NYK 52-110 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%

NC West
SEA 95-67 Win Division: 100.0% Make Playoffs: 100.0%
BAL 74-88 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%
BFD 70-92 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%
GTY 63-99 Win Division: 0.0% Make Playoffs: 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net