[IBL] Newsletter - August 15, 2024

[Paul Schneider]

FA signing proposal-no thoughts...fine either way.

1. Injury adjustment proposal-Sean and I had some discussion about this. As
a new player, it is something that jumped out to me right away. Sean
provided me some data that showed that more players do not reach their
injury limit than do, so I do think concerns (like mine) are a bit
overrated. That said, I do think the high injury guys are bearing a greater
brunt of fulfilling that "quota" if you will, while a lot of the guys who
are 6/10 types are not hitting theirs. I also think it bears noting that
almost every team has significant injury mitigation strategies, so the data
is probably not completely accurate. Many sit players for playoffs, limit
to DH, pull them ASAP, etc. I like the move to a 7. That big injury number
is still staring them in the face, and even as a 7, they have a 40% chance
of hitting that big number (50%/100% on the table). The injury risk is
still high, but it isn't the triple whammy (already hit max injury days,
low inj rating, high days number), but now, just a double whammy. I think
of the fun factor. We all want to play our fun guys and we want a
reasonable chance to get somewhat close to their MLB usage. I think of
someone like Logan O'Hoppe. As a catcher, does he have a real chance of
getting to his 200 PA that he did have in MLB?  So, while I know what the
overall data says, I would still vote in favor of this change.

2. Fatigued pitchers-I think Brent's point is valid. There are
circumstances where you eat some innings. If a guy is rocked in the first
innings, I may still need to get 5 or 6 innings out of him. In its current
form, I would vote no. However, if it were changed to something like 9 BF
after the 5th or 6th inning or something, I would be in favor. I don't like
seeing guys out there for 45 batters in a 18-3 game (and yes, I have done
it as well).

3. 125% usage. I am fine moving it slightly downward. While 125% is still a
lot of innings when it comes to SP, at least it is a little bit better. I
also like the symmetry with the 75% minimum (25% either way). I also agree
with the sentiment of getting a bit more offense into the league. Allowing
the elite SP to throw 275 innings is a killer to league offense.

4. 18 BF-looks good to me.

5. 1 start minimum-Don't care either way, but sounds fine.

6. LF/RF-I love this change. In MLB, teams move guys all the time based on
team need. Sign a free agent and need to move your RF to LF, no big deal.
In IBL, it seems to be an awkward inconvenience when teams need to trade
away a good corner OF because they have two RF and no LF. This can be a
problem because with fewer IBL teams, and with some teams not being
traders, finding a good trade match can be hard. Unlike MLB, we can't
decide where to play guys, which indeed is just the way it goes sometimes
(ie. moves from SS to 3B or whatever). But, when it comes to corner OF, it
seems a bit quibbly. I have not had personal issues with OF distribution,
but know many teams that do. I like any change that removes the "gamey"
part of the IBL game in favor of a more realistic approach, and think this
one qualifies.

7. Concurrent injuries-I am fine with this. I think it sort of relates to
the first rule proposal in helping the guys who are getting hit multiple
times.

8. Draft Order-I am up in the air on this one. My first reaction is that if
you are a playoff team, even a wildcard loser, you are still a good team
and should drop down in the order. On the other hand, in my two years in
the league, I have seen some teams activity work to NOT make the playoffs
with good, but not great teams, just because they don't want to be an early
out and lose out on the chance for a top 5 draft pick. Maybe this is a
small incentive to help teams play to win? Like I said, I don't know and
could be persuaded either way. Should we incentivize having a good team try
to not make the playoffs, miss by 5 games, then have another top 5 pick the
next year?  I like the current lottery system, but should the criteria
change from play-off appearance to a more weighted lottery based on record?
(Worst team gets 24 balls, second word team 23, etc.?) I know looking at
just record incentivizes tanking once you are out of the playoffs, but the
lottery element reduces that incentive quite a bit.  I know veteran members
have probably had this discussion many times in the past so I will defer to
the wisdom of the vets.

9. IR reserve-another one I could go either way on. On one hand, I think it
does help those teams that are hit with massive injuries. On the other
hand, it could put a further dent in the FA pool, which would affect teams
with lesser injuries in managing their roster (ie. I need a catcher for a
month). That said, I am a slight lean to yes, simply because I think the
constraints are pretty limiting. I would be curious to know how many teams
would be using this rule at the moment? How many players are we talking
about? As some of you know, RRG has been hit hard by injuries, but as their
caretaker, I can say that I wouldn't have used it yet. There are 3-4
players however, that I would use it on if they get hit again before the
end of the season.

Thanks to Rusey/Sean for putting this together and allowing discussion. I
look forward to people pointing out things I am missing.

On Thu, Aug 22, 2024 at 11:44 AM Brent Cunningham via Members <
members at lists.ibl.org> wrote:

> Thoughts on the ballot:
>
> 2024-01
> This could get very messy.  There are a lot of teams that don't finish
> their games until Tuesday (at least that's my perception) when results are
> technically due on Monday.  Are their results technically late with no
> extraordinary factors for exemption?  That's going to be a mess to bookkeep
> every week IMHO.
>
> Speaking personally, sometimes my schedule doesn't allow me to have
> results in on Monday due to employment/personal factors.  So using myself
> as an example, I am then locked out of ever being able to get "the best"
> free agents?
>
> It's hard enough to get a good free agent as say, the 5th or 6th worst
> team in the league because of the structure of the system - it's designed
> for the worst teams to get better, but often if you aren't one of the 3
> worst, you don't have a chance at the free agent anyway.
> ** I'd much rather see the entire free agent system rebuilt to either a
> rotating claim system or a point bid system (bid the most points, get the
> player) with the points available an arbitrary number (the market will set
> itself, so the total available at the beginning of the season doesn't
> matter).
>
> 2024-02
> I'm an owner who has suffered multiple long-term injuries to the same
> player this year - MIA Alcantara has been injured 3 separate times.  Yes
> it's put a strain on my SP's and weakened my already crap team.  It's bad
> luck, but it's not a reason to change the rules or add a rule.  Don't want
> two long term injuries?  Don't have the player on your roster.  We have 36
> roster spots - that's enough to insulate yourself against this type of
> injury woe.  I'd be willing to bet this injury issue happens way less than
> we think it does.
>
> 2024-03
> Meh.  Does the exploitation happen that often that we need a rule to
> prevent it?
> If I need a starter to go 6 innings to rest my pen and the opponent gets 3
> "lucky" rolls on DF's and the pitcher fatigues in the 2nd and the 9 BF rule
> not allowing him to get through the 4th inning, I'm not going to be happy
> about an arbitrary rule screwing my pen for the next 4 days if it's already
> somewhat depleted because of extra innings or a double-header before that
> game, or any other random thing (like injuries) that could happen.
>
> 2024-04
> Although 125% is more realistic, I don't think the specific example would
> be much different with the change from 133% to 125%.  Yes 280 innings is
> unrealistic.  So is 262.5, which is 125% of the 210 MLB innings example.
> If you want to limit that kind of SP "abuse", then limit the number of
> starts they can make, which is way out of proportion to reality.  Every
> (162 game) season for the last 5 years there's 17-20+ pitchers making 33 or
> more starts.  When's the last time that happened in MLB?  A team hasn't had
> 2 starters make 35 starts since the 2006 Braves.  Limit that and the
> innings come down as a result.
>
> 2024-5 / 2024-06
> Seem reasonable and logical to me.
>
> 2024-07
> I'm not sure I like this.  There's a lot of players in MLB that only play
> 1 of the 2 corner outfield positions.  I like that realism translating to
> IBL.
>
> 2024-08
> In favor.  I had this example with Tyler Glass-arm, although there were
> other circumstances involved.
>
> 2024-09
> I'm ambivalent.  Doesn't this actually hurt the chances initially of teams
> that currently might be in that 0 tier (by potentially adding more teams
> into the tier, thus reducing the chances of the #1 overall)?  Seems against
> the mantra of the worst teams getting better if they have a lower chance to
> get that coveted prospect.
>
> 2024-10
> Is there a limit to the number of players that can be place on IR each
> year?
>
>
> I know a lot of this seems contrarian, but I'm trying to foster discussion.
>
>
>
> Thanks,
>
> Brent Cunningham
> Owner/Manager
> Gettysburg Generals Baseball Club
>
>
> On Fri, Aug 16, 2024 at 11:33 AM Russell Peltz via Members <
> members at lists.ibl.org> wrote:
>
>> RESULTS
>> -------
>> Missing results:
>> Week 17 EVE at OXY
>> Week 17 WMS at SFL
>> Week 17 MCM at WMS
>>
>>
>> MID-SEASON BALLOT
>> -----------------
>> I've compiled the mid-season ballot, and it is available for review
>> at this link:
>>
>> https://wiki.ibl.org/dokuwiki/doku.php/2024-ballot-proposals
>>
>> We will allow a short period of time for you to point out any potential
>> issues with the ballot items that need to be corrected. Once any issues
>> have been corrected, or if none are found, the ballot will be locked
>> for changes and we will have a discussion period.  After that we will
>> set a deadline for voting.
>>
>> Please review the items at the above link and let us know if you see
>> any potential issues.
>>
>> The mid-season ballot contains any ballot items that need to be voted
>> on early, either because they take effect immediately, or because they
>> may affect people's decisions before the offseason.
>>
>> We will have an off-season ballot for items which do not need to be voted
>> on now.
>>
>>
>> SCHEDULE
>> --------
>> Week 18 is a three-game series with August weather.
>> Results will be due Monday, August 19, with a transaction deadline the
>> next day.
>>
>> Week 19 is also a three-game series with August weather.
>> Results will be due Monday, August 26, with a transaction deadline the
>> next day.
>>
>>
>> ROTATIONS
>> ---------
>> For week 18.
>>
>> BFD PIT Bido, MIA Cabrera, BOS Crawford
>> BOW PHI Wheeler, FA, KC Lyles(-8) or CHA Urena
>> BUF Gibson, Kopech, TBA
>> CAN PIT Contreras, PIT Priester, SD Martinez
>> EVE PHI Suarez, NYA King, NYN Senga
>> GTY MIL Burnes, ARI NelsonR., CHN Wesneski
>> KAT Eovaldi TEX, Yarbrough LAN, Singer KC
>> MAD BAL Fujinami, SD Waldron, SEA Gilbert
>> MCM PIT Ortiz, WAS Irvin -8, STL Matz -8
>> NJR MIL Rea, ARI Mantiply, LAA Ohtani
>> NYK NYA Weaver, CHA Cease, NYA Schmidt
>> OXY missing results
>> PHI MIL Peralta, LAN Gonsolin, COL Gomber (DTD)
>> RRG ARI Henry, TEX Heaney, OAK Blackburn
>> SCS CLE Bieber, CIN Williamson, NYA German
>> SDQ MIL Houser, PHI Lorenzen, COL Anderson
>> SEA SF Cobb, NYA Rodon, SD Lugo
>> SFL missing results
>> SFP PIT Keller, MIA Garrett, CIN Greene
>> SKY SD Snell, BOS Pivetta, CHN Taillon
>> SLG Gray MIN, Clevinger CHA, Ashcraft CIN
>> WIS ATL Morton, SF Walker, OAK Sears
>> WMS missing results
>>
>>
>> STANDINGS
>> ---------
>> Through week 17
>>
>> AC East W L Pct GB L2 Home Road Div Conf IP
>> Kansas Tornados 62 47 0.569 -- 4-8 31-23 31-24 24-20 62-47 36
>> So. FL Flamingos 59 48 0.551 2 4-5 28-24 31-24 28-16 59-48 36
>> New Jersey Riptide 52 57 0.477 10 8-4 27-27 25-30 20-24 52-57 36
>> Round Rock Gryphons 37 73 0.336 25.5 4-8 15-40 22-33 16-28 37-73 36
>>
>> AC Central W L Pct GB L2 Home Road Div Conf IP
>> Williamstown Thunder 60 44 0.577 -- 4-2 33-19 27-25 30-14 60-44 36
>> Occidental Millers 48 60 0.444 14 3-7 29-24 19-36 19-26 48-60 36
>> Philadelphia Phantasm 47 63 0.427 16 6-6 29-26 18-37 21-23 47-63 36
>> Bowling Green Bandits 47 64 0.423 16.5 6-7 25-30 22-34 18-27 47-64 34
>>
>> AC West W L Pct GB L2 Home Road Div Conf IP
>> Motor City Marauders 67 40 0.626 -- 5-4 32-23 35-17 31-13 67-40 36
>> Buffalo Raptors 64 46 0.582 4.5 8-4 31-24 33-22 20-24 64-46 35
>> Monrovia Madness 55 54 0.505 13 7-5 30-25 25-29 21-23 55-54 36
>> Everett Grays 51 55 0.481 15.5 4-5 31-24 20-31 16-28 51-55 36
>>
>> NC East W L Pct GB L2 Home Road Div Conf IP
>> Salt Lake Gulls 69 41 0.627 -- 9-3 34-21 35-20 25-19 69-41 36
>> Wisconsin Wallbangers 64 46 0.582 5 6-6 30-25 34-21 25-19 64-46 36
>> So. KY Hilltoppers 59 51 0.536 10 6-6 26-29 33-22 19-25 59-51 34
>> San Diego Quakes 52 58 0.473 17 8-4 26-29 26-29 19-25 52-58 36
>>
>> NC Central W L Pct GB L2 Home Road Div Conf IP
>> S.F. Prairie Dogs 64 46 0.582 -- 5-7 35-20 29-26 31-13 64-46 34
>> Sparkle City Sluggers 62 48 0.564 2 7-5 33-22 29-26 25-19 62-48 33
>> Canberra Redbacks 51 59 0.464 13 4-8 30-25 21-34 18-26 51-59 36
>> New York Knights 35 75 0.318 29 4-8 19-36 16-39 14-30 35-75 36
>>
>> NC West W L Pct GB L2 Home Road Div Conf IP
>> Seaside Rainiers 64 46 0.582 -- 9-3 37-18 27-28 24-20 64-46 36
>> Baltimore Sand Crabs 51 59 0.464 13 6-6 24-31 27-28 26-18 51-59 36
>> Berkley Fire Dragons 48 62 0.436 16 4-8 23-32 25-30 19-25 48-62 36
>> Gettysburg Generals 41 69 0.373 23 4-8 25-30 16-39 19-25 41-69 36
>>
>>
>> TRANSACTIONS
>> ------------
>> https://wiki.ibl.org/dokuwiki/doku.php/2024-transactions
>>
>> August 14 (for week 18)
>> -----------------------
>> BFD
>>     - Signs DET Brieske
>>     - Activates KC Marsh, LAN Brasier
>>     - Deactivates CHN Palencia, LAN Sheehan
>> BOW
>>     - Signs NYN Carrasco
>>     - Releases HOU Singleton
>>     - Activates NYN Carrasco
>>     - Deactivates CIN Lively
>> BUF
>>     - Signs CIN Maile
>>     - Releases SF Schmitt
>>     - Activates CHN Madrigal, LAA Canning, SD Wilson
>>     - Deactivates CHA Kopech, MIN Sands
>> CAN
>>     - Activates PIT Priester
>>     - Deactivates OAK Muller
>> EVE
>>     - Signs BAL Baumann
>>     - Releases WAS Call
>>     - Activates BAL Baumann, PHI Suarez
>>     - Deactivates TOR Francis, TOR Manoah
>> GTY
>>     - Activates TEX Jung
>>     - Deactivates KC Pratto
>> KAT
>>     - Activates BOS Refsnyder, CHA Moncada, PIT Velasquez
>>     - Deactivates CIN Fraley, COL Bouchard, PIT DeLosSantos
>> MAD
>>     - Activates MIN Polanco, SD Waldron
>>     - Deactivates CIN Gibaut, CIN Senzel
>> MCM
>>     - Signs OAK Pruitt
>>     - Releases KC Greinke
>>     - Activates PIT Ortiz, SF Winn
>>     - Deactivates LAN Gonzalez, LAN Urias
>> NJR
>>     - Signs ARI Rivera
>>     - Releases SD Batten
>>     - Activates ARI Rivera, MIL Taylor, SF DeSclafani [UC23]
>>     - Deactivates ARI Kelly, ATL Albies
>> NYK
>>     - Signs BOS Ort
>>     - Releases WAS Smith
>>     - Activates BOS Ort, WAS Robles
>>     - Deactivates SD Campusano
>> PHI
>>     - Signs CIN Law
>>     - Releases STL Baker
>>     - Activates CIN Law, COL Gomber, LAN Kershaw, NYA Wells
>>     - Deactivates BOS Hamilton, PIT Gonzales, SF Meckler
>> RRG
>>     - Activates ARI Henry, OAK Blackburn, PIT Hayes
>>     - Deactivates DET Meadows, MIL Miley, MIN Miranda
>> SCS
>>     - Activates CLE Bieber
>>     - Deactivates BOS Houck
>> SDQ
>>     - Activates COL Anderson
>>     - Deactivates TB Civale
>> SEA
>>     - Activates SF Cobb
>>     - Deactivates PHI Pache
>> SFL
>>     - Activates TB Beeks
>>     - Deactivates MIL Woodruff
>> SKY
>>     - Activates ARI Fletcher, BOS Pivetta
>>     - Deactivates BOS Bello, SEA France
>> SLG
>>     - Signs BOS Chang
>>     - Releases LAN Marisnick
>>     - Activates BOS Chang, LAA Wantz, PHI Marsh
>>     - Deactivates BAL Bradish, LAA Adell
>> WIS
>>     - Signs NYN Locastro
>>     - Releases SEA Thornton
>>     - Activates CIN Marte
>>     - Deactivates CLE Freeman
>>
>>
>> -Rusty
>>
>>
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