[IBL] Newsletter - August 4, 2023

Fri Aug 4 14:11:25 EDT 2023

RESULTS
-------
Missing results:

Week 14 SEA at SCS
Week 15 OXY at KAT
Week 15 GTY at SCS

SCHEDULE
--------
Week 16 is a 3-game series with July weather.
Results are due Monday, August 7 and transactions for week 17 are due the
next day.

There is a makeup game for BAL and GTY:
Week 16 BAL at GTY game on off day following series (makeup of rainout week 4)

ROTATIONS
---------
For week 16.

BFD BOS Crawford, MIA Cabrera -8, MIN Ryan -8
CAN SEA Ray, STL Flaherty, ATL Strider
EVE DET Skubal, LAA Suarez, TB Springs
MAD PIT Wilson, KC Greinke, ARI KellyM.
MCM NYN Carrasco, LAN Urias, COL Urena
NJR TOR Stripling, SD Musgrove, NYN Megill
NYK HOU Verlander, LAA Sandoval, TOR Berrios
OXY Lopez MIA Cole NYA Marquez COL
PHI COL Gomber, LAN Kershaw, LAN Gonsolin
RRG DET RodriguezEd., CHA Cueto, BAL Watkins
SDQ SF Rodon, MIN Smeltzer, MIL Houser
SEA ARI Gallen, SD Darvish, SF Cobb
SFL PHI Nola, CHN Thompson, MIL Woodruff
SKY ATL Anderson, BOS Bello, NYA Taillon
SNH STL Mikolas OAK Sears ATL Morton

STANDINGS
---------
Through week 15.

AC East W L Pct GB Home Road Div Conf IP
So. FL Flamingos 57 41 0.582 -- 31-18 26-23 22-16 57-41 36
New Jersey Riptide 51 47 0.520 6 30-19 21-28 21-17 51-47 36
Round Rock Gryphons 49 49 0.500 8 30-19 19-30 16-22 49-49 36
Kansas Tornados 44 51 0.463 11.5 22-24 22-27 17-21 44-51 34

AC Central W L Pct GB Home Road Div Conf IP
Williamstown Thunder 54 44 0.551 -- 28-21 26-23 21-17 54-44 33
Bowling Green Bandits 49 49 0.500 5 27-22 22-27 16-22 49-49 36
Philadelphia Phantasm 48 50 0.490 6 28-21 20-29 20-18 48-50 36
Occidental Millers 45 50 0.474 7.5 28-21 17-29 19-19 45-50 36

AC West W L Pct GB Home Road Div Conf IP
Motor City Marauders 64 34 0.653 -- 28-21 36-13 26-12 64-34 36
Everett Grays 43 55 0.439 21 23-26 20-29 18-20 43-55 36
Buffalo Raptors 41 57 0.418 23 24-25 17-32 15-23 41-57 36
Monrovia Madness 40 58 0.408 24 17-32 23-26 17-21 40-58 36

NC East W L Pct GB Home Road Div Conf IP
So. NH Spectre 56 42 0.571 -- 30-19 26-23 20-18 56-42 36
So. KY Hilltoppers 52 45 0.536 3.5 29-19 23-26 18-20 52-45 36
San Diego Quakes 50 48 0.510 6 27-22 23-26 20-18 50-48 35
Salt Lake Gulls 48 50 0.490 8 23-26 25-24 18-20 48-50 36

NC Central W L Pct GB Home Road Div Conf IP
Canberra Redbacks 58 39 0.598 -- 28-21 30-18 24-14 58-39 33
Sparkle City Sluggers 45 47 0.489 10.5 20-23 25-24 20-18 45-47 32
New York Knights 47 51 0.480 11.5 20-29 27-22 20-18 47-51 36
Santa Fe Prairie Dogs 34 64 0.347 24.5 15-34 19-30 12-26 34-64 32

NC West W L Pct GB Home Road Div Conf IP
Seaside Rainiers 64 31 0.674 -- 34-15 30-16 27-11 64-31 36
Gettysburg Generals 49 45 0.521 14.5 30-18 19-27 20-17 49-45 36
Berkley Fire Dragons 46 52 0.469 19.5 21-28 25-24 15-23 46-52 36
Baltimore Sand Crabs 31 66 0.320 34 17-32 14-34 13-24 31-66 36

PLAYOFF ODDS
------------
As simulated by Chris Hartjes on August 2:

Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...
Simulating seasons... |################################| 10000/10000

AC East
SFL 93.5 - 68.5 91.4% Div + 8.4% WC = 99.8%
NJR 85.9 - 76.1 8.5% Div + 76.5% WC = 85.0%
RRG 75.8 - 86.2 0.1% Div + 6.3% WC = 6.4%
KAT 72.5 - 89.5 0.0% Div + 1.3% WC = 1.3%

AC Central
WMS 88.4 - 73.6 69.5% Div + 23.8% WC = 93.2%
BOW 83.5 - 78.5 19.6% Div + 40.1% WC = 59.6%
PHI 81.2 - 80.8 9.3% Div + 27.7% WC = 37.0%
OXY 77.7 - 83.3 1.7% Div + 11.8% WC = 13.5%

AC West
MCM 101.9 - 60.1 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
EVE 76.0 - 86.0 0.0% Div + 4.2% WC = 4.2%
MAD 69.1 - 92.9 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%
BUF 65.4 - 95.6 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SNH 96.7 - 65.3 87.8% Div + 12.0% WC = 99.8%
SKY 89.5 - 71.5 12.1% Div + 82.4% WC = 94.5%
SDQ 78.9 - 83.1 0.1% Div + 12.1% WC = 12.2%
SLG 72.4 - 89.6 0.0% Div + 0.5% WC = 0.5%

NC Central
CAN 94.5 - 66.5 99.2% Div + 0.4% WC = 99.6%
SCS 79.3 - 82.7 0.7% Div + 12.9% WC = 13.5%
NYK 76.6 - 85.4 0.1% Div + 4.2% WC = 4.3%
SFP 61.5 - 100.5 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
SEA 103.9 - 58.1 99.9% Div + 0.1% WC = 100.0%
GTY 85.4 - 75.6 0.1% Div + 69.9% WC = 70.1%
BFD 77.8 - 84.2 0.0% Div + 5.3% WC = 5.3%
BAL 53.4 - 107.6 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

TRANSACTIONS
------------
August 2 (For week 16)
----------------------
BAL
     - Activates MIL Lauer
     - Deactivates LAA Thaiss
BFD
     - Signs LAA Fletcher
     - Releases OAK Allen
     - Activates KC Taylor, LAA Fletcher
     - Deactivates HOU Meyers
BOW
     - Signs CHA Engel
     - Releases TOR Bradley
     - Activates CHA Engel, MIA Brigham, SF Cotton
     - Deactivates ATL Acuna, CIN Hoffman
BUF
     - Activates CHA Kelly
     - Deactivates OAK Kaprielian
CAN
     - Activates STL Flaherty
     - Deactivates STL Liberatore
EVE
     - Activates TB Springs
     - Deactivates TOR Kikuchi
MAD
     - Activates KC Greinke, OAK Langeliers
     - Deactivates SD Alfaro, SEA Gilbert
MCM
     - Signs COL Urena
     - Releases CLE Morris
     - Activates ATL Matzek, COL Urena, NYN Carrasco
     - Deactivates MIL Strzelecki, STL Hicks [UC22]
NJR
     - Signs NYA Donaldson
     - Releases MIA Burdick
     - Activates ARI Rojas, NYA Donaldson, TOR Stripling
     - Deactivates BAL Stowers, CLE Plesac, TEX Duran
OXY
     - Activates ATL McHugh, NYA Cortes
     - Deactivates KC Hernandez, MIN Ober
PHI
     - Activates MIL Urias, OAK Pruitt
     - Deactivates DET Wentz, SF Belt
SDQ
     - Activates COL Lamet, TEX Thompson
     - Deactivates LAN Bruihl, LAN Grove
SEA
     - Activates MIL Suter
     - Deactivates NYN Lugo
SFL
     - Signs ARI Hager
     - Releases CHN Quiroz
     - Activates ARI Hager
SFP
     - Activates SEA Borucki
     - Deactivates CIN Greene
SKY
     - Activates PHI Syndergaard [UC22], WAS Thompson
     - Deactivates PHI Dominguez, SD Snell
SLG
     - Signs KC Cuas, SEA Lewis, STL Molina
     - Releases BOS HernandezD. [UC23], CHN Bote, NYN Givens
     - Activates KC Cuas, STL Molina
SNH
     - Signs ATL Stephens
     - Releases LAA Stefanic
     - Activates OAK Sears
     - Deactivates CLE Karinchak

-Rusty
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