[IBL] Playoff Odds - Oct 12, 2022

[Chris Hartjes]

DID YOU KNOW that there have been six seasons where an IBL hitter has hit 40 or more homers AND stolen 40 or more bases?

1995 Barry Bonds 57/53
1999 Andruw Jones 44/44
2007 Alfonso Soriano 47/53
2010 Mark Reynolds 42/41 (WTF, he had 64 career MLB stolen bases)
2022 Kyle Tucker 42/50 and counting
2022 Fernando Tatis Jr. 40/41 and counting

Thanks to Rob Barnes for sending me the data. I can only hope Vladdy Guerrero Jr ends up with a high enough steal rating with his 8 SB I can make a run at a 30/30 season for him next year.

As we head into the last 2 weeks of the regular season, SnakeBot would like to remind you that the playoff odds show how hard it can be to catch a team from behind for a playoff spot. I hope you have enjoyed these playoff odds emails.

Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...

Simulating seasons... |################################| 10000/10000

AC East
NJR 82.3 - 79.7 61.5% Div + 7.4% WC = 68.9%
SFL 80.8 - 81.2 29.9% Div + 11.1% WC = 41.0%
KAT 78.8 - 83.2 8.7% Div + 4.2% WC = 12.9%
RRG 60.7 - 101.3 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
WMS 95.5 - 66.5 99.6% Div + 0.4% WC = 100.0%
PHI 86.5 - 75.5 0.4% Div + 97.2% WC = 97.6%
OXY 83.5 - 78.5 0.0% Div + 78.6% WC = 78.6%
BOW 72.3 - 89.7 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 107.7 - 54.3 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
EVE 77.3 - 84.7 0.0% Div + 1.0% WC = 1.0%
POR 73.9 - 88.1 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
MAD 72.8 - 89.2 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SLG 106.8 - 55.2 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 91.1 - 70.9 0.0% Div + 100.0% WC = 100.0%
SKY 78.0 - 84.0 0.0% Div + 3.5% WC = 3.5%
SNH 65.3 - 96.7 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
NYK 98.2 - 63.8 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
CAN 79.7 - 82.3 0.0% Div + 9.5% WC = 9.5%
SFP 77.0 - 85.0 0.0% Div + 1.6% WC = 1.6%
SCS 76.8 - 85.2 0.0% Div + 2.4% WC = 2.4%

NC West
GTY 91.9 - 70.1 98.9% Div + 1.1% WC = 100.0%
SEA 84.2 - 77.8 1.1% Div + 81.9% WC = 83.0%
BAL 65.9 - 96.1 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
ODM 57.0 - 105.0 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net