[IBL] Playoff Odds - Oct 5, 2022

[Chris Hartjes]

DID YOU KNOW that 12 IBL hitters have hit 62 or more homers in a season?

1. Sammy Sosa FAR 2002             80
 2. Barry Bonds SDQ 2002            75
 3. Barry Bonds SDQ 2005            72
 4. Sammy Sosa FAR 1999             71
 5. Giancarlo Stanton SEA 2018      67
 6. Mark McGwire SJC 1998           65
 7. Manny Ramirez CAP 2002          65
 8. Albert Belle TEX 1995           63
 9. Shawn Green SPO 2002            63
10. Albert Belle BOS 1996           62
11. Mark McGwire SJC 1999           62
12. Jorge Soler GTY 2020            62

Playoff races are coming down to the wire with 3 weeks to go. The PlayoffSnake says there is only 1 race that is really up for grabs with no team having better than 50% offs to win it -- the AC East title. 

As always, just a reminder that the PlayoffSnake doesn't know anything about:

* your roster
* your current injured players
* your skil as an in-game manager
* rollbot's undying hatred for you

Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...

Simulating seasons... |################################| 10000/10000

AC East
NJR 81.5 - 80.5 44.5% Div + 10.1% WC = 54.6%
KAT 80.2 - 81.8 27.1% Div + 8.1% WC = 35.2%
SFL 80.2 - 81.8 28.3% Div + 8.5% WC = 36.8%
RRG 59.5 - 102.5 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
WMS 96.4 - 65.6 99.8% Div + 0.2% WC = 100.0%
PHI 85.5 - 76.5 0.1% Div + 92.5% WC = 92.6%
OXY 83.6 - 78.4 0.1% Div + 79.7% WC = 79.8%
BOW 72.9 - 89.1 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 108.5 - 53.5 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
EVE 76.6 - 85.4 0.0% Div + 0.9% WC = 0.9%
POR 73.9 - 88.1 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%
MAD 73.1 - 88.9 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SLG 105.8 - 56.2 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 89.5 - 72.5 0.0% Div + 99.7% WC = 99.7%
SKY 78.1 - 83.9 0.0% Div + 2.4% WC = 2.4%
SNH 64.7 - 97.3 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
NYK 98.7 - 63.3 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
CAN 80.0 - 82.0 0.0% Div + 8.3% WC = 8.3%
SFP 78.9 - 83.1 0.0% Div + 4.5% WC = 4.5%
SCS 77.6 - 84.4 0.0% Div + 3.2% WC = 3.2%

NC West
GTY 93.6 - 68.4 99.2% Div + 0.8% WC = 100.0%
SEA 85.0 - 77.0 0.8% Div + 81.1% WC = 81.9%
BAL 65.1 - 96.9 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
ODM 55.0 - 107.0 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net