[IBL] Way Too Early Playoff Odds

[Chris Hartjes]

For those who want to torment themselves like me, here are the latest playoff odds as calculated by a Python script that wants you to miss the playoffs in 7 of the past 8 seasons

Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...


AC East
NJR 86.8 - 75.2 64.0% Div + 16.3% WC = 80.4%
KAT 83.3 - 78.7 28.8% Div + 28.1% WC = 56.9%
RRG 75.5 - 86.5 3.5% Div + 7.7% WC = 11.2%
SFL 75.1 - 86.9 3.6% Div + 7.5% WC = 11.2%

AC Central
PHI 84.6 - 77.4 33.8% Div + 27.5% WC = 61.3%
OXY 84.4 - 77.6 33.0% Div + 26.9% WC = 59.9%
BOW 82.7 - 79.3 20.5% Div + 29.5% WC = 50.0%
WMS 80.9 - 81.1 12.7% Div + 24.3% WC = 36.9%

AC West
MCM 90.5 - 71.5 88.8% Div + 4.8% WC = 93.5%
EVE 79.3 - 82.7 7.3% Div + 17.3% WC = 24.6%
POR 75.5 - 86.5 2.6% Div + 6.7% WC = 9.3%
MAD 73.4 - 88.6 1.4% Div + 3.5% WC = 4.8%

NC East
SLG 88.4 - 73.6 70.8% Div + 13.0% WC = 83.8%
SDQ 80.9 - 81.1 13.1% Div + 22.3% WC = 35.4%
SNH 79.6 - 81.4 9.3% Div + 17.1% WC = 26.4%
SKY 77.6 - 83.4 6.8% Div + 11.6% WC = 18.4%

NC Central
NYK 93.9 - 68.1 80.8% Div + 14.9% WC = 95.7%
SCS 84.8 - 77.2 14.9% Div + 44.5% WC = 59.5%
SFP 78.5 - 83.5 2.7% Div + 16.6% WC = 19.3%
CAN 76.9 - 85.1 1.6% Div + 11.7% WC = 13.2%

NC West
SEA 95.0 - 67.0 91.3% Div + 6.4% WC = 97.7%
GTY 83.4 - 78.6 8.5% Div + 39.3% WC = 47.9%
BAL 71.8 - 90.2 0.2% Div + 2.5% WC = 2.7%
ODM 60.2 - 101.8 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net