[IBL] Week 9 Playoff Odds

Chris Hartjes chartjes at littlehart.net
Tue Jun 7 15:25:14 EDT 2022


DID YOU KNOW that my team is on pace to become just the third IBL team to give up more than 300 home runs in a season?

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Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...

Simulating seasons... |################################| 10000/10000

AC East
NJR 85.7 - 76.3 54.7% Div + 22.0% WC = 76.7%
KAT 84.7 - 77.3 40.1% Div + 30.0% WC = 70.1%
SFL 76.8 - 85.2 4.8% Div + 12.6% WC = 17.4%
RRG 70.5 - 91.5 0.4% Div + 1.2% WC = 1.6%

AC Central
WMS 87.8 - 74.2 60.9% Div + 24.2% WC = 85.1%
PHI 84.3 - 77.7 25.8% Div + 38.4% WC = 64.2%
OXY 81.0 - 81.0 10.2% Div + 27.0% WC = 37.2%
BOW 77.3 - 84.7 3.2% Div + 13.6% WC = 16.8%

AC West
MCM 97.8 - 64.2 99.2% Div + 0.6% WC = 99.8%
EVE 77.5 - 84.5 0.4% Div + 14.5% WC = 14.9%
POR 77.5 - 84.5 0.4% Div + 14.3% WC = 14.8%
MAD 71.0 - 91.0 0.0% Div + 1.5% WC = 1.5%

NC East
SLG 88.2 - 73.8 74.9% Div + 9.2% WC = 84.2%
SDQ 80.2 - 81.8 10.8% Div + 16.0% WC = 26.9%
SKY 78.8 - 82.2 9.8% Div + 10.3% WC = 20.1%
SNH 77.0 - 83.0 4.4% Div + 7.1% WC = 11.5%

NC Central
NYK 96.6 - 65.4 92.2% Div + 6.6% WC = 98.8%
SCS 83.2 - 78.8 4.2% Div + 40.5% WC = 44.7%
CAN 80.8 - 81.2 2.3% Div + 24.9% WC = 27.2%
SFP 79.5 - 82.5 1.4% Div + 17.8% WC = 19.2%

NC West
GTY 89.1 - 71.9 49.5% Div + 32.6% WC = 82.1%
SEA 88.7 - 73.3 49.7% Div + 31.8% WC = 81.4%
BAL 74.1 - 87.9 0.8% Div + 2.9% WC = 3.8%
ODM 53.8 - 108.2 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net


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