[IBL] Playoff Odds -- August 3, 2022

[Chris Hartjes]

DID YOU KNOW that when I took over the then-Cascade Rangers near the end of the 1997 season, I played with cards that had been faxed to me by Don Singleton. I co-owned a comic book store at the time and we had a fax machine since it was required to send in our orders. The store was a disaster and we closed up after a year.

Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...

Simulating seasons... |################################| 10000/10000

AC East
SFL 83.9 - 78.1 45.0% Div + 29.9% WC = 74.9%
KAT 83.3 - 75.7 43.4% Div + 24.7% WC = 68.0%
NJR 80.2 - 80.8 11.7% Div + 23.1% WC = 34.7%
RRG 64.0 - 97.0 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
PHI 92.5 - 69.5 57.9% Div + 41.4% WC = 99.3%
WMS 90.9 - 70.1 41.9% Div + 56.5% WC = 98.4%
OXY 78.7 - 83.3 0.2% Div + 18.1% WC = 18.3%
BOW 74.2 - 87.8 0.0% Div + 2.9% WC = 3.0%

AC West
MCM 104.2 - 55.8 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
POR 74.2 - 87.8 0.0% Div + 2.5% WC = 2.5%
MAD 71.0 - 91.0 0.0% Div + 0.4% WC = 0.4%
EVE 70.8 - 91.2 0.0% Div + 0.5% WC = 0.5%

NC East
SLG 100.1 - 61.9 97.5% Div + 2.5% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 88.6 - 73.4 2.5% Div + 86.9% WC = 89.3%
SKY 79.4 - 82.6 0.1% Div + 16.9% WC = 16.9%
SNH 69.0 - 93.0 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%

NC Central
NYK 103.7 - 58.3 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
CAN 80.3 - 81.7 0.0% Div + 20.4% WC = 20.4%
SCS 77.9 - 84.1 0.0% Div + 8.6% WC = 8.6%
SFP 76.6 - 85.4 0.0% Div + 4.5% WC = 4.5%

NC West
SEA 88.7 - 73.3 73.0% Div + 17.4% WC = 90.4%
GTY 85.5 - 76.5 27.0% Div + 42.7% WC = 69.7%
BAL 68.1 - 92.9 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%
ODM 53.2 - 107.8 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net