[IBL] Way too early playoff projections

Patrick Gibbs pjgibbs at gmail.com
Tue May 19 00:20:53 EDT 2020


"We're not out of the hunt yet!" - Patrick Gibbs, Everett Grays owner
and manager

"Yes you are." - Everett Grays fans everywhere.

On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 9:07 PM Chris Hartjes <chartjes at littlehart.net> wrote:
>
> Starting to simulate 10000 seasons...
>
> AC East
> SFL 81.1 - 80.9 38.5% Div + 8.0% WC = 46.5%
> KAT 81.0 - 81.0 37.1% Div + 8.6% WC = 45.7%
> NJR 79.3 - 82.7 24.2% Div + 8.9% WC = 33.0%
> RRG 64.8 - 97.2 0.2% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.2%
>
> AC Central
> BOW 91.7 - 70.3 64.4% Div + 29.5% WC = 93.9%
> OXY 89.1 - 72.9 34.8% Div + 51.2% WC = 85.9%
> WMS 76.7 - 84.3 0.8% Div + 10.7% WC = 11.5%
> PHI 68.7 - 92.3 0.0% Div + 0.5% WC = 0.5%
>
> AC West
> MCM 101.4 - 60.6 97.7% Div + 2.2% WC = 99.9%
> MAD 84.7 - 77.3 2.0% Div + 56.9% WC = 58.9%
> POR 79.2 - 81.8 0.3% Div + 21.3% WC = 21.6%
> EVE 72.4 - 88.6 0.0% Div + 2.3% WC = 2.3%
>
> NC East
> SDQ 89.4 - 72.6 95.4% Div + 0.5% WC = 95.9%
> SNH 73.8 - 88.2 2.2% Div + 3.2% WC = 5.5%
> SLG 72.6 - 89.4 1.6% Div + 2.1% WC = 3.7%
> SKY 70.4 - 90.6 0.8% Div + 1.0% WC = 1.8%
>
> NC Central
> NYK 92.8 - 69.2 60.6% Div + 33.6% WC = 94.2%
> SCS 89.4 - 72.6 34.3% Div + 51.9% WC = 86.2%
> CAN 82.0 - 80.0 4.9% Div + 31.1% WC = 36.1%
> SFP 72.7 - 89.3 0.1% Div + 2.6% WC = 2.7%
>
> NC West
> GTY 92.2 - 68.8 74.3% Div + 19.1% WC = 93.4%
> SEA 87.0 - 74.0 24.4% Div + 46.3% WC = 70.7%
> BAL 76.0 - 85.0 1.1% Div + 6.9% WC = 8.0%
> ODM 71.6 - 90.4 0.2% Div + 1.4% WC = 1.6%
>
> --
>   Chris Hartjes
>   chartjes at littlehart.net



-- 
""The citizens nourished their peaceful thoughts and plucked out their
hateful thoughts as one would tend a garden." - Journey Under the Sea,
R.A. Montgomery, 1979.


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