[IBL] Playoff Odds -- August 26, 2018

[Chris Hartjes]

Simulated 10000 remaining seasons using log5 (which gives the home team a slight advantage) using their overall records and normalizing future results towards .500 (designed to adjust due to usage patterns in the IBL). Due to rounding some values might not add up to 100%.

AC East
TRI 98.5% Div + 0.9% WC = 99.4%
NJR 1.5% Div + 20.0% WC = 21.5%
KAT 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%
COU 0.0% Div + 0.1% WC = 0.1%

AC Central
PHI 82.3% Div + 17.3% WC = 99.6%
PAD 14.3% Div + 78.4% WC = 92.7%
WMS 3.3% Div + 75.7% WC = 79.0%
BOW 0.0% Div + 6.1% WC = 6.1%

AC West
MCM 92.3% Div + 0.2% WC = 92.6%
POR 7.6% Div + 1.0% WC = 8.6%
MAD 0.1% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.1%
BAL 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SDQ 99.9% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SNH 0.1% Div + 11.8% WC = 11.9%
SKY 0.0% Div + 1.2% WC = 1.2%
SLG 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
CAN 97.7% Div + 1.8% WC = 99.5%
NYK 2.3% Div + 37.7% WC = 40.0%
SCS 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
SFP 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
SEA 64.9% Div + 35.0% WC = 100.0%
EDG 35.1% Div + 64.8% WC = 99.9%
ODM 0.0% Div + 47.4% WC = 47.4%
GTY 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net