[IBL] Playoff Odds October 3, 2017

Chris Hartjes chartjes at littlehart.net
Tue Oct 3 12:52:15 EDT 2017


I am disheartened that my team's 2-16 run hasn't helped move the needle
on the playoff races.

Starting to simulate seasons...

Simulated 10000 remaining seasons using log5


AC East
TRI 98.3% Div + 1.7% WC = 100.0%
COU 1.7% Div + 90.9% WC = 92.6%
KAT 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
NJR 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
WMS 96.0% Div + 0.7% WC = 96.7%
BOW 4.0% Div + 6.7% WC = 10.7%
PHI 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
PAD 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
POR 0.0% Div + 99.8% WC = 99.8%
BAL 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
MAD 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SNH 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 0.0% Div + 18.3% WC = 18.3%
MNM 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
SKY 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
SFP 99.8% Div + 0.2% WC = 100.0%
SCS 0.2% Div + 88.2% WC = 88.3%
CAN 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
NYK 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
ODM 72.8% Div + 22.1% WC = 94.8%
SEA 25.7% Div + 56.6% WC = 82.2%
EDG 1.4% Div + 11.9% WC = 13.3%
GTY 0.2% Div + 2.8% WC = 2.9%

-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net


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