[IBL] Playoff Odds - November 7, 2017

[Chris Hartjes]

After watching my team lose games vs. MCM to:

* a 3 base error by an outfielder
* a WP+ that allowed noted White Sox speedster Jose Abreu to score the
walk-off run from second base
 
I decided to share some of my hopelessness and anger by running the
playoff odds going into this last week.

I will be recording the ritualistic burning of my cards, charts, and
remaining scoresheets in the fire pit at my house once the regular
season is over

Starting to simulate seasons...

Simulated 10000 remaining seasons using log5


AC East
COU 74.3% Div + 25.7% WC = 100.0%
TRI 25.7% Div + 74.3% WC = 100.0%
NJR 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
KAT 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC Central
WMS 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
PHI 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
BOW 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
PAD 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

AC West
MCM 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
POR 0.0% Div + 100.0% WC = 100.0%
BAL 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
MAD 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC East
SNH 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SDQ 0.0% Div + 0.9% WC = 0.9%
MNM 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
SKY 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC Central
SFP 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
SCS 0.0% Div + 93.0% WC = 93.0%
CAN 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%
NYK 0.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 0.0%

NC West
SEA 97.4% Div + 2.6% WC = 100.0%
ODM 2.6% Div + 97.4% WC = 100.0%
EDG 0.0% Div + 4.4% WC = 4.4%
GTY 0.0% Div + 1.7% WC = 1.7%
-- 
  Chris Hartjes
  chartjes at littlehart.net