[IBL] Playoff Odds October 3, 2016

Chris Hartjes chartjes at littlehart.net
Mon Oct 3 09:37:31 EDT 2016


Data dump taken at 09:13 EDT

Results based on simulating all remaining series 10000 times using head-to-head records.

* TRI's chances take a big drop (-29.0%)
* WMS is almost a WC lock (+20.9%)
* MAD doubles their chances to make it (+10.6)
* SFP approaches a division title (+29.9%)


COU 98.1% Div + 1.5% WC = 99.5%
TRI 1.9% Div + 33.1% WC = 35.0%
MCM 0.3% Div + 1.8% WC = 2.1%
PHI 100.0% Div + 0.0% WC = 100.0%
WMS 0.0% Div + 99.5% WC = 99.6%
BAL 44.8% Div + 24.4% WC = 69.2%
POR 46.8% Div + 28.5% WC = 75.3%
SKY 5.2% Div + 0.6% WC = 5.8%
MNM 94.8% Div + 0.3% WC = 95.1%
SFP 96.2% Div + 1.3% WC = 97.5%
CAN 3.7% Div + 11.2% WC = 15.0%
GTY 74.4% Div + 25.6% WC = 100.0%
MAD 8.1% Div + 11.2% WC = 19.3%
SEA 0.0% Div + 86.6% WC = 86.6%
ODM 25.6% Div + 74.4% WC = 100.0%

--
Chris


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